Monday, November 3, 2014

morning thoughts...


As said and expected the markets gained and ended positve and achieves our logical targets of 8300 on the nifty front and 17000 on bank nifty.          
Technically the markets are still strong and gain some more and a reaction on back of profit booking is not ruled out.
However multi moves in stock specific stocks will continue and create huge oppurtunities for wealth creation.
Astrologically MEGA TRANSIT OF LORD SATURN IN SCORPIO ON 2ND NOVEMBER , 2014Lord Saturn is transiting in Scorpio on November 2, 2014 after leaving its friendly sign, Libra.Being the lord of tenth and eleventh house in the horoscope, Saturn plays the most important role in everyone’s life. Whether or not your horoscope is directly associated with Saturn, but record of your deeds is kept by it only. Also, it controls your financial life.Let us now talk about Saturn transit, according to Saturn transit in Scorpio astrology 2014. On November 2, 2014, Saturn after residing for long in its friendly and exalted sign, Libra , will enter into its inimical sign, Scorpio . Making predictions for Saturn is most difficult and as we have stated earlier that Saturn affects one’s life in many ways, Saturn’s Dhaiya, Sade Sati, Maha Dasha- Sub period (major period-sub period), direct-retrograde and on the basis of its conjunction and aspecting relation with other planets. Hence, it would be good not to take Saturn in Scorpio horoscope 2014 as final result and take astrological suggestion under major circumstances.
Saturn Transit In Scorpio Horoscope 2014: Time Of Saturn Transit & Position Of Planet
Date : November 2, 2014
Time : 6:33 pm
Zodiac Sign: Scorpio, Lord: Mars
Constellation: Vishakha (Fourth phase), Lord: Jupiter
Impact Of Saturn Transit On The Country
Saturn transit in Scorpio says that Saturn and Mars share intense rivalry. During Saturn transit, Sun , Moon , and Venus; all are under Rahu’s constellation (Nakshatra). According to Saturn transit in Scorpio astrology 2014, Mars is falling in the constellation of Ketu , Rahu is under Mars constellation and Saturn is posited in sign of Mars and constellation of Jupiter. Saturn and Mars are forming Dwidwadsh Yoga and Saturn is being aspected by Jupiter, as predicted by Saturn transit in Scorpio horoscope 2014. Mars is directly aspecting Ketu and has a debilitated aspect on Jupiter. As a result, serious natural calamities such as earthquake, hurricane and Tsunami are highly possible. Saturn transit in Scorpio astrology 2014 further days that at some places, war or religious conflicts may lead to bloodshed and harm to masses and wealth. West-South countries and regions will witness major effect, according to Saturn in Scorpio horoscope 2014. As long as Saturn will reside in Scorpio and in this phase as many times as Sun-Moon and Mars-Ketu will influence together, natural calamities will hit the country.
Stock picking is a tricky affair, especially for retail investors. With limited financial knowledgeand financial tools, researching stocks is a tough task for them. No wonder a lot of them take cues from fund managers, hoping to beat index returns by mimicking an apparently careful selection of stocks by a set of individuals who are perceived to be smarter. But can retail investors just rely on fund managers' expertise and sit back hoping to earn similar returns on their portfolio
The first is regarding fund managers' better access to investing related resources and its contribution to higher returns. Numerous studies have shown that most actively managed funds have underperformed the markets. In his classic finance book 'A Random Walk Down Wall Street', Burton Malkiel contested that even a blind folded monkey throwing darts at a newspaper's financial pages could select a portfolio that would do just as well as one carefully selected by experts. Some researchers disagree with this. They believe that the famous economist underestimated the dart equipped monkeys, as the latter not just equal but may actually outperform! We are not glorifying random stock picking here, but trying to clear some illusions. 
Now let us remind you of your real edge over the fund managers. Unlike for the latter, your investment choices do not affect your career. Far from bringing out the best, such pressure on fund managers makes them act against their convictions. And not in the best interests of investors. This is especially true with regards to time horizon. While a successful investment will be one that multiplies returns over long term, it would not be wrong to say that most fund managers are more likely to focus on short term performance. This is because their incentives and career progression depend on the same. Similarly, most of them are more apprehensive of taking contrarian bets. While they can easily get away from a widely followed stock that fails to perform, a contrarian bet that goes wrong is difficult to justify and may jeopardize their career. 
These are some fundamentals reasons why you should not follow fund managers. Coming to practical aspects, the process is hardly as simple as it seems. The way to act on the strategy will be to mimic the best performing fund manager or best performing fund. The problem with former is that they have their own periods of losses. Afterall, even geniuses fail. Similarly, copying the best performing fund too is not a good idea as you may end up following multiple fund managers. The problem with that is you will be blindly following investment strategies that may be totally out of tune with your risk and returns profile. Further, it is not possible to get real time information of what fund managers are doing. Even the best of stocks may not offer good returns if entered and exited at wrong times. Last but not the least, unlike fund managers, retail investors do not enjoy economies of scale (hence end up paying higher brokerage charges), and tax advantages that fund managers do. To conclude, retail investors have a considerable edge over fund managers. With a focus on fundamentals, valuations and disciplined investing, there is no reason why they can't beat markets over the long term. 
Coming to the commodity markets – bullions are range bound and will continue to trade volatile with a positive bias in base metals and energy
With the change in scorpio huge move and deception coming in equities and commodities – know in advance and take position accordingly fro nifty 7600 and 8800…..?

Double bumper and jackpot option of premium 15k to be out for conversion in 35k


Friday’s calls sent

Silver Mcx – sell at cmp 36050 sl 36333 targets 35500 – booked at 35539
Crude Mcx – sell at cmp 4990 sl 5010 targets 4930 – booked at 4945
Copper Mcx – buy at cmp 415 sl 414 targets 418 – hit sl
Advance Nifty – booked profits at 8327 – long from 8025 ( open free call given on facebook 5 days in advance )
Bank Nifty – buy at cmp 16900 sl 16780 targets 17200 -  went 17187 ( open free call given on facebook 5 days in advance )
Nifty  8200 ce – buy at cmp 80 sl 65 targets 135 – went 139 ( open free call given on facebook 5 days in advance )
Double bumper l&t 1600 ca – booked profits at 80 – long from 45 ( open free call given on facebook 5 days in advance )
Jackpot Maruti 3200 ca – buy at cmp 82 sl 70 targets 125 – went 133 ( open free call given on facebook 5 days in advance )
Double bumper Sbi 2700 ca – booked profits at 90 – long from 52 ( open free call given on facebook 5 days in advance )
Rcom 105 pa – buy at cmp 3.90 sl 3.30 targets 6 – hit sl
Tata steel – buy at cmp 479 sl 476 targets 490 – booked at 488
Jain irrigation – buy at cmp 87 sl 86 targets 90 – booked at 89.60
Tata power – sell at cmp 92 sl 93 targets 89 – hit sl
Gail – sell at cmp 515 sl 518 targets 509 – hit sl
Jackpot – buy at cmp 605 sl 590 targets 645 – booked at 638